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Friday, October 16, 2026
FortuneDirect UK

The Venezuelan Crisis Is Poised to Determine Trump's Political Legacy - as well as the United States' Position in the World

Following executing a night of shock and awe in Venezuela, Donald Trump now appears to be entering the state-building arena.

In a remarkable media briefing at his Mar-a-Lago estate on Saturday morning, the commander-in-chief stated that US forces had successfully apprehended Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife in an late-night operation in Caracas.

Trump then indicated that a team comprising Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Secretary of Defence Pete Hegseth, working with Venezuelans, would be taking control of the embattled nation.

"We are going to administer the country until such time as we can do a secure, orderly and careful transition," he said.

What precisely "running the country" actually means is unclear, but the pledge signifies an abrupt shift in direction for the president, rife with contradictions and daunting challenges.

A leader who ran on opposing "forever wars", who sharply criticised past US attempts at regime change and who vowed to implement an "America first" foreign policy is now betting his presidency on effectively rebuilding a South American nation whose economy is collapsed and whose governmental stability has been undermined by decades of dictatorship.

Yet, Trump was unwaveringly confident.

He stated his administration has a "unblemished record of winning" – and that this will be no different. He promised to recruit American oil firms to overhaul Venezuela's crumbling industrial infrastructure, supplying funds for the American rebuilding project and aiding the Venezuelan people.

He declined to rule out deploying American soldiers to Venezuela to further these efforts. "We're not afraid of boots on the ground…we had boots on the ground last night," he informed reporters.

Trump, a sharp critic of the US invasion of Iraq, will now have to remember the words of one of the American planners of the Iraq War, Secretary of State Colin Powell: "If you break it, you own it."

A Shift in Foreign Policy

The US has altered Venezuela's future – whether for good or ill.

Trump came to power nearly a year ago promising to be a peacemaker, but over the past year he has proven that he is quite prepared to use military force around the globe.

In the past week, he authorized airstrikes on Syria and Nigeria. In 2025, he struck nuclear facilities in Iran, suspected narco-trafficking boats in the Caribbean, rebel forces in Yemen, militias in Somalia and jihadist fighters in Iraq.

In contrast to past operations, which have mostly involved missiles and aircraft that reduce the risk of American forces to danger, Trump's Venezuela operation – and his commitments to the future of that nation – are notably distinct.

His aim, he said during his press conference, is to "restore Venezuela's greatness."

Domestic and International Reaction

That twist on Trump's "Make America Great Again" – or Maga - mantra might prove tough for some of Trump's followers to swallow.

Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene, a one-time Trump loyalist who broke with the president after accusing him of abandoning his political base, was quick to condemn the president's actions on social media.

"Public outrage with our own government's never ending use of force and backing for overseas conflicts is justified because we are compelled to finance it," she stated. "This is what many in Maga thought they voted to end. Boy were we wrong."

Another notable Trump detractor, Republican Congressman Thomas Massie, contrasted the official rationale for Maduro's arrest – on arms and drug trafficking charges – with Trump's reasoning that the operation was to retake confiscated US oil and halt fentanyl production.

The majority of Republican lawmakers stood by the president, with House Speaker Mike Johnson characterizing the military action against a "criminal regime" as "firm and justified".

Policy Rationales and Worldwide Consequences

During his press conference, the president argued the Venezuelan operation advanced his "America First" agenda because it ensured US regional security and provided a reliable source of oil.

He resurrected the Monroe Doctrine – an nineteenth-century American foreign policy that asserted the Western Hemisphere should be without influence by European powers – and rebranded it the "Trump Doctrine."

The move in Venezuela, Trump said, shows that "American dominance in the Western Hemisphere will never be questioned again."

The purpose of the new US national security strategy, he said, was to "protect commerce, territory and assets that are fundamental to our security interests." He labeled the Western Hemisphere as America's "home region."

Trump's choice to capture Maduro will provoke broader questions in international relations, however, and impact American relations with the world's other major global powers.

The Chinese government released a statement voicing shock and denouncing what it said was a reckless assault on a sovereign nation.

During the Biden administration, the US offered comparable condemnations of Russia following its incursion of Ukraine. Now the Trump administration is attempting to mediate a peace deal between those two nations – one that has frequently seemed to be leaning to the Russian side.

Don Bacon, a moderate Republican congressman, voiced worry about the precedent Trump's actions might send.

"My main concern is now Russia will use this to excuse their unlawful and barbaric operations against Ukraine, or China to rationalize an invasion of Taiwan."

Opposition and Legal Scrutiny

Trump's Democratic opponents were blunter.

"America should not be running other countries for any purpose," said a senator who serves on the Senate Foreign Relations committee. "We should have learned by now not to get entangled in perpetual conflicts and overthrow attempts that carry devastating consequences for Americans."

Another senior Democratic lawmaker said Maduro is a lawbreaker and a autocrat with a record of human rights abuses. But he censured Trump's decision not to inform congressional leaders prior to launching the attack.

"Donald Trump has the constitutional responsibility to follow the law and uphold institutional norms in the United States," he said. "That is what putting America First requires."

Trump, in his press conference, explained that he opted not to inform Congress because he was worried they would "leak" particulars of the operation prior to the attack.

A Path Forward Shrouded in Doubt

That mission was a triumph – with zero American casualties and limited harm to US equipment. Trump, with his typical confidence, portrayed the operation as a "daring raid" and "among the most astonishing, effective and powerful displays of American military might and competency in US history."

Now he is staking his presidency on that victory continuing, as the US says it will assume responsibility for running and rebuilding Venezuela - though what that truly entails is unknown. He and his administration must strengthen a nation that has been in turmoil for years while stabilising a hemisphere that is bound to be cautious of what Trump's foreign policy has in store for them.

CF
About the author

Clifford Freeman

A seasoned financial analyst with over 15 years of experience in investment banking and personal wealth management, specializing in UK markets.

FortuneDirect UK

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